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Micron Tops Fiscal Q4 Estimates With $54.23 Billion Revenue, Guides Q1 Above Consensus as Memory Shortage Persists

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September 30, 2026|4 min read
A large semiconductor fabrication facility with robotic arms handling silicon wafers, a cross-section of stacked memory chips in the foreground, and a new fab campus under construction in the background.

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Micron Technology reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $54.23 billion and adjusted earnings of $33.42 per share, beating Wall Street estimates on both lines, and guided fiscal first-quarter results above consensus as a global memory supply crunch continues to lift prices and demand for chips used in artificial intelligence hardware, according to CNBC and Seeking Alpha.

Fiscal Q4 Results Beat Estimates

Bar chart comparing Micron's fiscal Q4 FY26 revenue of $54.23 billion to the $51.07 billion analyst estimate and $11.32 billion reported a year earlier.
Source: CNBC, based on LSEG consensus and Micron's fiscal Q4 statement.

Micron's adjusted earnings of $33.42 per share came in $1.81 above the LSEG consensus estimate of $31.61, while revenue of $54.23 billion exceeded the $51.07 billion analysts had projected, CNBC reported. Based on those figures, the earnings beat amounted to 5.73% above consensus and revenue landed 6.19% above the forecast (our calculation: (33.42 - 31.61) / 31.61 * 100; (54.23 - 51.07) / 51.07 * 100). Seeking Alpha, measuring against its own consensus, characterized the print as an EPS beat of $1.60 and a revenue beat of $2.76 billion.

Revenue almost quadrupled from $11.32 billion a year earlier, a 379.1% year-over-year increase as reported by Seeking Alpha. Net income climbed to $37.7 billion, or $32.87 per share, from $3.2 billion, or $2.83 per share, in the year-ago quarter, according to CNBC.

DRAM revenue for the quarter rose 343% year over year to $39.8 billion, representing 73% of total sales, CNBC reported. For full fiscal 2026, Micron posted revenue of $133.19 billion, up from $37.38 billion the prior year, a difference of $95.81 billion, or a 256.31% increase (our calculation: 133.19-37.38; (133.19-37.38)/37.38*100), alongside GAAP net income of $84.97 billion, per Seeking Alpha.

Fiscal Q1 Guidance Tops Consensus

For the fiscal first quarter, Micron guided to revenue of about $61.5 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $38.15, according to CNBC. That compares with LSEG consensus estimates of $57 billion in revenue and $35.40 in adjusted earnings per share. The revenue guidance sits $4.5 billion above consensus, a 7.89% premium, and the EPS guidance is $2.75 above consensus, a 7.77% premium (our calculation: 61.5-57, (61.5-57)/57*100; 38.15-35.40, (38.15-35.40)/35.40*100).

CNBC reported that executives were scheduled to discuss the results with analysts on a conference call beginning at 4:30 p.m. ET, meaning additional management commentary on demand drivers, pricing dynamics or supply commitments had not yet been made public at the time of the report.

Memory Shortage and HBM Context

CNBC attributed the results to a worldwide memory supply crunch that has driven up chip costs and raised prices for consumer electronics such as Apple's iPads and MacBooks. The outlet also noted that advanced graphics and central processors from chipmakers including Nvidia and AMD require growing amounts of high-bandwidth memory, or HBM, for AI workloads, and that the world's leading providers cannot keep pace with demand.

Micron is the only U.S.-based maker of HBM, which is built from stacked general-purpose DRAM, according to CNBC. The company is investing $250 billion to build two new HBM campuses, with the largest breaking ground in Clay, New York, in January and its first new fab in Boise, Idaho, scheduled to come online next year, per the same report. SK Hynix and Samsung, described by CNBC as the HBM market leaders, are separately building out their own HBM capacity in South Korea. CNBC reported that Micron holds the smallest HBM market share of the three suppliers, even as its market capitalization has topped $1.2 trillion.

Stock Reaction

Micron shares rose only slightly in extended trading following the report, CNBC said, a muted move relative to the scale of the earnings and guidance beat. The outlet noted that the stock has soared more than 500% over the past year, a run it attributed to the worldwide supply crunch tied to historic AI-driven demand for memory chips. A modest after-hours reaction following such a large prior run-up suggests, as an interpretation rather than a reported fact, that much of the current quarter's strength may already have been priced in by investors ahead of the release.

CNBC also reported that Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra participated in a summit on AI regulation hosted by President Donald Trump on Tuesday, days after attending a White House dinner with Chinese President Xi Jinping during his first U.S. visit in more than a decade. The report did not link these appearances directly to the earnings results.

Bottom Line

Micron's fiscal fourth-quarter results and above-consensus first-quarter guidance reflect a company benefiting from an acute global memory shortage tied to AI infrastructure demand, with DRAM revenue and overall sales climbing sharply from year-ago levels, according to CNBC and Seeking Alpha. The muted after-hours stock reaction, set against a 500%-plus one-year gain, suggests — as an interpretation of the reported figures rather than a reported fact — that investors had already built substantial optimism into the shares heading into the print, even as CNBC reported that demand for HBM and DRAM continues to outstrip supply.

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