Hey, Ross here:
Welcome to the last trading day of the quarter.
At the close of the market today, it’s going to be a five-month win streak for the market.
And as historical data shows, that bodes well for the coming months.
Chart of the Day
Source: @RyanDetrick via X
Momentum is one of the strongest factors in the market.
In the near to medium-term, it’s a far stronger factor than valuations.
That’s why, as today’s chart shows, five month win streaks tend to lead to more wins.
Across 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month timeframes…
The broader market was higher the majority of the time – especially on the 6-12 month time frames.
Combine this with the positive seasonality in Q4…
As well as the continuation of the Fed rate cutting cycle…
And things are shaping up for an explosive fourth quarter.
But positive momentum is just one of the things that’s making me so excited for the fourth quarter.
I explain below.
Insight of the Day
High stock volatility amid broader positive momentum is a recipe for targeting outsized gains in a strong market.
The chart below shows the level of volatility for the average Nasdaq stock compared to the volatility for the rest of the index.
Source: @Barchart via X
As you can see, right now, individual stocks are A LOT more volatile compared to the broader index.
Factor in the broader market tailwinds…
And it means that many stocks are going to be jumping far ahead of the market.
This is good news for smart traders…
Because it’s what will allow us to target true outperformance in a strong market.
Of course, you have to know how to look beneath the surface of the market to find these opportunities.
That’s why in just a few hours at 11 a.m. Eastern this morning…
I’m going LIVE for my exclusive members-only State of the Market update…
Where I’ll dive deep into what I’m seeing in the various sectors of the market…
Share the different kinds of opportunities coming down the pipeline for the fourth quarter…
And explain how to exploit these opportunities from different angles.
It looks like we’re due for an explosive fourth quarter…
So let’s kick it off the smart way.
Click here to guarantee your seat if you haven’t already…
And I’ll see you LIVE at my State of the Market update at 11 a.m. ET sharp.
P.S. If you’re planning to attend on a mobile device, make sure you download the presentation app now so you don’t miss anything when it starts. See you there.
iOS: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/goto/id1465614785
Customer Story of the Day
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Ross Givens
Editor, Stock Surge Daily
