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The Market Is Hitting RECORD HIGHS… I’m Only Buying THESE Stocks

Ross Givens
Ross GivensRoss Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experi...
October 7, 2026|11 min read
Macro close-up of a fiber-optic patch panel inside a data center rack, dozens of thin glass cables glowing faint amber and blue where light leaks at the connectors, condensation beading on a nearby chilled aluminum duct.

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Hey, Ross here:

The S&P 500 just hit a new all-time high, but that headline number is hiding a market that's quietly falling apart underneath. If you're hunting for photonics stocks to buy right now, along with the strongest cyber security names, you need to understand why sector leadership matters more than the index, and why only a handful of groups deserve your capital.

Stocks have made more net 52-week lows than highs over the past three weeks. Only about 56% of NASDAQ stocks sit above their 200-day moving average. The advance/decline line is rolling over while the index grinds higher.

That combination tells you a small group of stocks is carrying the entire market on its back while everything else gets quietly destroyed.

This is not a crash call. It's a leadership call. And right now, two groups stand above everything else: cyber security and photonics.

TradingView daily candlestick chart of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) showing price action pushing to new all-time highs
S&P 500 (SPX) daily chart showing the index pushing to new all-time highs.

Why Is the Stock Market Hitting Record Highs While Breadth Is Collapsing?

Bottom Line: A record high in the S&P 500 is hiding weak breadth, with more stocks hitting new lows than highs and only about 56% of NASDAQ names above their 200-day average. Because a small group of stocks is carrying the index, capital is best concentrated in the two strongest groups, cyber security and photonics, using a clear plan, price, and stop before buying.

Why the index is lying to you

The S&P 500 made a fresh all-time high. Breadth data says the rally is dangerously narrow, with more stocks hitting 52-week lows than highs over the last three weeks and only 56% of NASDAQ names above their long-term trend line.

That 56% figure comes from the percentage of NASDAQ composite stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, the long-term line that separates stocks in real uptrends from stocks that are quietly dying. When that number sits near the middle instead of pushing toward the upper end, a big chunk of the market isn't participating at all.

Nasdaq Composite Index chart with percentage of Nasdaq stocks above their 200-day moving average, highlighting the 56% level
Only about 56% of Nasdaq Composite stocks are trading above their 200-day moving average.

The advance/decline line confirms it. That line tracks the net number of advancing stocks versus declining stocks each day, and right now it's rolling over while the index stays flat to up.

None of this means a crash is coming. It means the gains are concentrated in a narrow set of leaders, and chasing random names in a weak-breadth tape is how traders get chewed up. Go straight to the strongest sectors. Ignore everything else.


The Only Two Groups Worth Owning

Out of 40 tracked sectors, cyber security is the clear leader over the last month, sits in the top four over the last two months, and keeps showing up high on the three-month, six-month, nine-month, and twelve-month lists. That kind of consistency across every timeframe is what Ross calls very clear leadership in the cyber security space.

Sector performance data table showing Cybersecurity consistently ranking among top performers across one-, two-, three-, six-, nine-, and twelve-month timeframes
Cybersecurity sector shows consistent top-tier performance across multiple timeframes, as highlighted in this sector rotation data table.

Photonics is the newer story. It's the next leg of the AI trade, tied directly to how data moves inside AI server racks. These companies move data using light. As AI data center spending climbs into the trillions of dollars, that kind of infrastructure becomes a requirement, not an option.

There's a policy angle too. A new development out of Washington bans Chinese manufacturers from the space, which hands an added tailwind to the US manufacturers of photonic stocks competing for that buildout.

One confirmed sector leader. One emerging AI infrastructure theme. That's where your attention belongs while the rest of the market chops sideways beneath a misleadingly strong index.


Which Cyber Security Stocks Are Breaking Out Right Now?

CrowdStrike (CRWD) is the big kahuna of this group, and its chart shows exactly the kind of breakout pattern worth memorizing. The stock triggered a buy back on September 14th, even while the broader market was in trouble, and pushed from 230 all the way to 280 in a couple of weeks.

TradingView daily candlestick chart for CrowdStrike (CRWD) showing an uptrend with resistance line, consolidation pattern, and breakout arrow
CRWD breaks out above resistance after a shallowing consolidation pattern.

Compression and shallowing before an explosive move. That pattern shows up at the bottom of a base and again near the top. CrowdStrike ran first because it's the number one name in the group. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) followed with a similar breakout through new highs, and it's arguably the more viable entry today.

The better opportunities sit in two smaller names most traders are ignoring.

1. Rapid7 (RPD)

Rapid7 is roughly an $800 million company, small enough to deliver outsized moves. Its average daily range, meaning how far it typically travels high to low in a session, runs over 7%. Catch that kind of volatility correctly and you get 30%, 40%, even 50% moves relatively quickly. The stock already proved it back in June with a 107% move in three weeks.

The current setup rhymes with that one: a big doubling in price, profit-taking, then massive buying coming in to push it higher again. That second wave tells you the big institutions are still actively buying. After it, a series of shallowing consolidations forms, a coiled spring that tightens until it explodes out the top side.

RPD daily candlestick chart with red stop-loss box drawn below the previous day's low and a level marked near $13.25
Rapid7 (RPD) daily chart showing proposed stop-loss area below prior day's low.

Rapid7 had an outside day, so the safer play is waiting for a break above the prior day's high of $13.10 rather than guessing.

Trading platform showing RPD (Rapid7) chart with a buy stop order entry at $13.25
Setting up a buy stop order for Rapid7 (RPD) at $13.25.

2. Varonis Systems (VRNS)

Varonis is roughly a $5 billion company, which is a great size. Not super small, not super risky, but with plenty of room left to grow. Stocks at five or six billion can 10x without upsetting anything.

It already delivered a 140% move in three months during the second quarter, and what followed is poetry in motion: tight ranges, a 10% day that whipped up, a beautiful little shakeout to run a few stops, then a snap right back into the highs. The stock also does $82 million a day in volume, so liquidity is a non-issue once the market opens.

There are no guarantees. But this is the number one group in the market, a mid-cap name with tremendous earnings and sales growth, setting up in a perfect pattern. That trade gets taken 10 days out of 10.

And if you're brand new: a stop-loss order is just a sell stop. It says if this stock falls to this price, I no longer want to own it, sell it automatically. Make it good till cancelled so it sits there as long as you hold the position.

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What Are Photonics Stocks to Buy?

Photonics stocks to buy are the companies building the light-based data transfer technology AI data centers increasingly require, with an added boost from a Washington policy shift that bans Chinese manufacturers and pushes sales toward US producers.

The core idea is simple. As AI infrastructure spending climbs into the trillions, the way data physically moves inside server racks has to change. Moving data via light becomes a requirement across the board, not a niche upgrade.

The policy tailwind makes this more than a technology story. With Chinese manufacturers banned from the space, US-based photonics companies pick up additional sales. That's why this group could be one of the biggest opportunities for the rest of 2026.

A full deep dive on the specific names in this group is coming separately, with the setups, the sizing, and the entries. The takeaway for now: photonics is shaping up as the next major leg of the AI trade, and it deserves the same attention cyber security is getting.


Photonics and the Disruption Angle

Photonics stocks to buy are the US-based companies producing light-based data transfer technology for AI server infrastructure, a space getting a direct tailwind from new Washington restrictions on Chinese manufacturers.

Every AI data center buildout needs faster, more efficient ways to move data within AI server racks. Light-based transfer is where everything is shifting. As trillions of dollars pour into AI infrastructure, demand for the technology scales right alongside it.

The Chinese manufacturer ban adds a second layer. This isn't only organic demand growth, it's a policy-driven redirection of sales toward domestic producers.

The specific tickers are coming in a dedicated breakdown. But the structural case is already in place before a single company name enters the conversation.


What Are Some Cheap Photonics Stocks to Buy?

Cheap photonics stocks with long-term upside are hard to pin down until specific names and prices are published. The sizing logic, though, applies to any AI infrastructure theme: smaller, high-volatility names deliver the outsized percentage gains, while mid-caps with room to grow offer a steadier path higher.

Cyber security already demonstrated both sides. A roughly $800 million name like Rapid7 can swing 7% or more in a single day and has already posted a 107% move in three weeks. A $5 billion name like Varonis is a calmer ride with real room to multiply before anything gets structurally stretched.

If photonics follows the same path, the smaller names in the group will likely produce the fastest moves once institutional buying shows up. Which is why a full list of photonics stocks to buy, with entry points and risk parameters, is worth waiting for instead of guessing at tickers.

If you're already hunting for names in this group, that interest makes sense. But chatter is not a substitute for a real technical setup, a defined entry, and a stop-loss. That discipline is what separates a good idea from a good trade.


How to Evaluate a Photonics Stock

The framework is the same one applied to the cyber security names above. Confirm the sector is leading. Find a clean consolidation. Define your entry and stop before you place the order.

1. Confirm Sector Leadership First

Before any individual stock, check whether its group is actually leading. Cyber security's case was built on topping the one-month list and holding high placement on the two-, three-, six-, nine-, and twelve-month rankings out of 40 sectors. Photonics is being framed the same way: the next leg of the AI trade with a real policy tailwind behind it.

2. Look for Shallowing Consolidation

The strongest setups show a big move, then profit-taking, then tighter and tighter ranges as institutions keep buying. That coiled spring, visible in both Rapid7 and Varonis, signals a breakout is building rather than fading.

3. Define Entry and Stop Before Buying

Every trade above had a specific trigger and a specific stop tied to recent price action, not a guess. RPD: buy stop $13.25, stop $11.90. VRNS: buy limit near $49, stop $44.50. Apply the same discipline to any photonics name once the levels are confirmed.

4. Size by Market Cap and Volatility

Smaller companies like Rapid7 move faster and harder in both directions, which argues for smaller position sizes. Steadier names like Varonis can support a bit more size because the swings are less extreme.


Follow the Leaders, Ignore the Noise

The S&P 500 making new highs doesn't mean buy everything. It means get more selective, not less. With breadth weakening and more stocks hitting new lows than highs, the only names worth real conviction sit in the two leadership groups: cyber security and the emerging photonics AI theme tied to the next phase of data center spending.

Cyber security has proven itself across every timeframe that matters, and CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, Rapid7, and Varonis are showing the exact breakout patterns worth acting on with defined entries and stops. Photonics is earlier, but surging AI data center demand plus a Washington policy tailwind against Chinese manufacturers makes it one of the more compelling setups for the rest of 2026.

The index can keep climbing on the back of a handful of stocks. Your job isn't to chase the index. It's to find where the real strength is hiding and position yourself there with a plan, a price, and a stop before you ever click buy.

Company filings and financial disclosures can be verified through the SEC's EDGAR database.

Get an entire year of live weekly mentoring sessions, my newsletter, indicators, bonus reports, tons more. Click the link and I'll see you in the next live session.

DISCLAIMER: Traders Agency does not offer financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders Agency is not responsible for any financial losses or consequences resulting from the use of the information provided. Trading carries inherent risks and may not be suitable for all individuals. You are advised to conduct your own research and seek personalized advice before making any investment decisions, recognizing the potential risks and rewards involved.

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Ross Givens

Written by

Ross GivensChief Market Strategist

Ross Givens is a veteran trader with over 15 years of experience and a former VP at a major Wall Street investment bank. Specializing in small-cap stocks and momentum-driven plays, Ross identifies high-probability setups before they hit the mainstream. As Lead Strategist at Traders Agency, he has guided hundreds of successful trades and developed multiple flagship publications.

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